At last Brexit has blasted through, and now is the time to start asking the awkward questions.
A Brexit Facts4EU.Org Sunday editorial
Let’s start with the positives. The only major national party with an emphatic stance on delivering the Leave vote of 2016 has won a resounding victory. The United Kingdom will finally have a pro-Brexit government with an overwhelming majority in Parliament.
All the nonsense of a “People’s Vote” and the desperate claims from sore losers have been defeated. There is now no doubt that in a technical sense the United Kingdom will no longer be a member of the European Union on 01 February next year (2020). Much, much too late, but better late than never.
A moment’s reflection
On this Sunday following Boris Johnson’s election victory and pulling a pint in Blair’s old pub yesterday
readers may wish to pause for a moment to reflect. There have been many times since that momentous day in June 2016 when Brexiteers had very good reasons to believe that the Establishment would somehow get its way, and would overturn that historic, democratic vote.
It often felt in the last three-and-a-half years that true democrats across the country were constantly on the back foot, fighting a defensive action. Worse still, the anti-democrats seemed to have all the funding and resources and were able to mount coordinated attacks on all fronts.
Meanwhile the Leave side of which we are a part were, frankly, fragmented and ineffective. Did we at Brexit Facts4EU.Org try to put this right? Oh yes. Big time. But now is not the time to discuss that. For the avoidance of doubt we are talking here about strategy, management, coordination and organisation, not about the stirling efforts of thousands of ordinary pro-Brexit folk around the country.
Let’s get back to the positives
Forget all the details of the election results, the overall result was truly momentous. It perhaps represents the final stage in the start of a ‘post-democratic revolution’ which started in the United Kingdom with the EU Referendum on 23 June 2016. Over three years later, it is clear that the British people had finally had enough, and they expressed this in no uncertain terms on Thursday 12 December 2019 through the ballot box.
Brexit was the trigger. Ignored, marginalised, and routinely insulted by the ‘bourgeois elites’ in the metropolis for decades, ordinary British voters took matters into their own hands. Casting traditional party loyalties aside they voted in overwhelming numbers for a party and a leader who promised to deliver on the largest democratic vote in British history.
So is that it? Er, sadly not. On 24 June 2016 we were the only Brexit organisation to continue researching and publishing, and we have done this seven days a week since. We were convinced there would be an Establishment backlash.
In the Conservative leadership election of July 2016 we attacked Mrs May. After she was elected leader (and thereby became Prime Minister) we campaigned strongly against the appointment of Remainers like Philip Hammond to her Cabinet.
It made no difference, a 75% Remainer Cabinet was appointed. Immediately after, and in the three years which followed, we continued to warn against the May government as being a major risk to Brexit.
In the first year of Mrs May’s premiership we lost many Conservative readers as a result of our stance. Slowly, as the true nature of Mrs May’s government became apparent, we won back these readers. We also said from the start that the EU would never negotiate any form of sensible deal with the UK, as they are fanatical ideologues hell-bent on a mission to unify all member states into one mega-country. We were right about this too.
Firstly let’s re-state some basics. The EU’s Withdrawal Agreement isn’t Brexit, it’s an international surrender treaty with the EU. It has not changed since Mrs May first ‘negotiated’ it – only the Political Declaration has been amended.
On 01 Feb 2020 the United Kingdom will become the first colony of the EU. This will not change until the end of the ‘Transition Period’, currently 31 Dec 2020. Boris Johnson has promised that he will not extend this. The deadline for agreeing any extension is six months earlier – 30 June 2020.
The PM has also promised that the UK will agree a free trade deal with the EU by 31 Dec 2020. If Mr Johnson abides by all the statements he made in the general election campaign, a moderately-acceptable form of Brexit will be achieved by the end of next year, on 31 December 2020.
We would like to end on a positive note, but we simply do not believe that this is remotely likely. Readers should be aware that we would dearly love this to be the first time we will have been proved to be wrong in the four years of our very existence. Nevertheless at least we can all rejoice in the fact that most of the Remainers have been routed.